2007年6月11日 星期一

領先指標與落後指標


Leading indicators are economic indicators which tend to change before the general economic activity, and so may sometimes be used as a predictor.

Example:

  • Stock prices
  • Average work hours in manufacturing sector
  • Housing Markets
  • Inflation
  • Interest rates

Lagging indicators trail behind the general economic activity.

Example:

  • Unemployment rate
  • Percentage change in CPI
  • GDP (sometimes)
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